Weather Zip Code:
Des Moines , IA
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Conditions
33°
Wind Speed N, 5 MPH
Humidity 92 % Wind Chill 29°F
Dew Point 31°F Barometer 30.11 in.
Agriculture Markets
Futures MO Last Chg
Corn December 391'0 -4'0
Soybeans January 1046'0 7'0
Wheat December 559'6 -2'6
Milk November 14.06 0.00
Feeder Cattle January 92.675 0.850
Live Cattle December 83.950 0.275
Lean Hogs December 57.600 1.625
Cotton December 70.41 0.00

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EHedger Livestock Commentary 11/02/09

11/2/2009
 
(866) 433-4371         info@EHedger.com
 
 
Live Cattle
Feeder Cattle
Lean Hogs
LCZ9
86.225
+0.55
FCX9
95.125
+0.325
LHZ9
57.725
+1.025
LCG0
87.60
+0.75
FCF0
95.575
+0.50
LHG0
64.60
+1.00
LCJ0
89.35
+0.70
FCH0
96.475
+0.875
LHJ0
67.625
+0.825
 
Index
93.07
-0.18
Index
53.84
-0.01
 
 
Live Cattle: 
 
            TX trades $88 live
 
Live cattle closed higher on the day. Outside markets traded erratically all day, yet did not provide support until the end of the session. Futures closed on a buying note after being pressured lower in early morning trade. February and April led the way higher behind fund buying this is more likely to be involved in this months over the December contract. Cattle traded $87-88 last week and if trade is merely steady than the discount futures hold will be a reason to buy December futures. Cash trade is off to a firm start this week with light trade in Texas at $88. Asking prices are mostly $89-90 and this early week trade is likely a result of feeders wanting to move cattle at steady money since futures are now showing a discount to the cash market. With the higher cash prices last week some feedyards are finally approaching profitable levels. Hedge pressure should surface in April live cattle above $90. Yet, as margins improve for the feeder the higher cash values are decreasing packer margins. This will keep a lid on cash prices unless boxed beef starts to justify $88-90 live. Midday boxed beef was higher with Choice at 141.10 up .27 and Select at 135.54 up .16.
 
 
 
Boxed Beef Cutout Values
Choice
Select
Loads
141.63
+0.80
135.83
+0.45
203
Choice/Select spread settled at +5.81
Slaughter
Wk Ago
Yr Ago
WTD
Yr Ago
119,000
124,000
116,000
 
 

 
 
Feeder Cattle: 
 
Feeders closed higher on the day. March led the gains thanks to ideas of few cattle and better demand in that time frame. Also, fund buying will likely go into Jan, March, and April. Futures were mostly mixed during the session, but closed strongly in line with gains seen in nearly all agricultural commodities. Early week feeder cattle auction saw cattle trade steady to $2 higher. This trend will need to continue to pull the CME index higher and close the discount it holds to November futures. Otherwise, the higher live cattle cash trade should be a supporting factor looking ahead. 
 
 
Lean Hogs: 
 
Direct hog markets were higher with the IA/So.MN direct market at $53.75 up 1.70; Western cornbelt $53.53 up 1.21; Eastern cornbelt $49.94 up .33; and the National average at $52.83 up .83
 
Pork Carcass Cutout Values
 
 
Loads
58.68
+0.51
53.8
Slaughter
Wk Ago
Yr Ago
WTD
Yr Ago
428,000
431,000
428,000
 
 
 
Pork cutout; loins -1.33, hams +2.11
 
Lean hogs closed higher on the day. Hogs continue their surge ahead after opening mixed. Hogs finished strongly along with cattle and grain contracts thanks to fund buying. Beyond that factor hogs were also helped by higher cash prices to start the week. The cutout continues to hold steady to higher keeping underlying support to hogs. Ham prices are now near $60, which is quite a ways from $40 that we saw several weeks ago. Slaughter figures are beginning to suggest that hogs have worked through the biggest glut of market ready hogs. A decreasing slaughter in the weeks ahead will be supportive. However, outside of today we have yet to see sharp gains in cash values.
 
 
 
Go to www.ehedger.com/sign-up/ for a free two-week trial that includes our hedging recommendations, trades of the day, market recaps or to simply open an account. 
 
You can also contact us at 866-433-4371, or by sending us an email to info@EHedger.com
 
 
Regards,
EHedger LLC
141 West Jackson Blvd.
Suite 1520A
Chicago, IL 60604
1-866-433-4371 Office
 
Trading commodity futures involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. The recommendations express opinions of the author. The information they contain is obtained from sources believed reliable, but is in no way guaranteed. The author may have positions in the markets mentioned including at times positions contrary to the advice quoted herein. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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