Cash Grain Insights

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Cash Grain Insights Kevin McNew
Kevin was raised on a farm in central Oklahoma. He received his Bachelors degree from Oklahoma State University and Masters and PhD from North Carolina State University in agricultural economics. For over a decade, he was a Professor of Agricultural Economics at the University of Maryland and Montana State University focusing on commodity markets. In 1999, McNew founded and now serves as the president of Cash Grain Bids Inc, a data and market intelligence service for grain merchandisers and producers.

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Corn Basis Weakens while Beans Start to Stabilize

Good progress for corn harvest this week kept basis levels under pressure. On average, farmers harvested 17% of the corn crop last week, which helped lower U.S. average corn basis by 3 cents a bushel. In soybeans, where the crop is nearly 90% harvested, basis levels were mostly unchanged.
Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Harvest Sinks Soybean Basis

Farmers finally got a reprieve from the weather and made ample progress getting the corn and bean crops harvested.  Soybean basis felt the brunt of the strong harvest as basis levels were off 14 cents for the week while corn was off 3 cents.

Tuesday, November 03, 2009

Basis Starts to Ease With Harvest Pace Increasing

Weather conditions started to improve and gave farmers a chance to pick up the pace on harvest. Both corn and bean basis eased lower this week, falling by 2 and 1 cent a bushel, respectively.

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Harvest Stand-Still Keeps Basis Levels Mostly Steady

This past week proved to be another challenge for farmers trying to harvest their crops. The latest USDA numbers show limited harvest progress, with corn standing at only 20% cut versus a normal pace of 58% and soybeans at 44% versus 80% at this time of year.

Wednesday, October 21, 2009

Slow Harvest Pace Keeps Basis Levels in Check

Another incremental week of grain harvest kept basis levels slightly weaker, but still holding relatively firm. Basis levels were off 2 cents a bushel for both corn and beans, but much of the weakness was confined to areas along the River system.
Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Harvest Pressure Hits Cash Markets

Grain harvest is later than normal and off to a slow start with scattered rains, but basis levels are starting to feel the pressure. For the week, corn basis was off 2 cents on average while bean basis was off 5 cents.

Thursday, September 24, 2009

Store Your Crop or Not?

Good weather and ample crops have turned $5 corn into $3 corn and $11 beans into $9 beans over the last few months. With harvest approaching, farmers may be tempted to shove that grain in the bin and hope for higher prices to return.

Thursday, September 03, 2009

$5 Corn

$5.00 for my corn, that was my goal. Learn how you can acheieve that even in a down market!

Thursday, August 06, 2009

Grain Basis Weaker on Gulf Slump

Futures markets got a lift this week from short-covering and hot, dry weather that threatened to take some of the yield potential away. Front-month Sep futures jumped over a $1 for beans while corn prices added 30 cents to their price.
Thursday, July 23, 2009

Corn Basis Gains Continue

Grain prices continued their slump over the past week, although an unexpected announcement that USDA would re-survey corn plantings may put a risk premium back in the market.
Wednesday, July 08, 2009

Corn Basis To Remain Strong

The last year has been one of improving basis conditions. After the energy market tumbled and the economy tanked over the past year, transportation costs – a major component in grain basis – begun to fall.

Thursday, June 04, 2009

Basis Levels Mixed on Export Weakness and Delayed Plantings

The summer has yet to really heat up, but futures markets are already beginning their wild ride. After moving higher for much of the past week, futures sank on profit-taking toward the end of the week as profit-taking and gains in the U.S. dollar sent grain prices lower.

Thursday, May 28, 2009

New-Crop Bean Basis Climbs Higher

Futures continued to keep their bias to the upside this week, with new-crop soybean futures eclipsing $10.50 a bushel. Eastern Cornbelt states finally caught a break with the weather, and boosted their corn plantings. However, acreage numbers still remain a huge wildcard for the coming season and with delayed plantings, yield potential may be hampered a bit.

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Bean Basis Gains on Strong Exports

Basis levels were mixed this week, as U.S corn basis values were mostly unchanged, but beans posted a 3-cent gain for the week.

Thursday, May 14, 2009

Corn Basis Slumps as Ethanol Plants Flinch on Higher Prices

Grain basis levels were mixed this week as soybeans posted a 0.8 cent per bushel increase across the U.S while corn basis was off by nearly 3 cents a bushel.

 

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Agriculture Markets
Futures MO Last Chg
Corn December 391'0 -4'0
Soybeans January 1046'0 7'0
Wheat December 559'6 -2'6
Milk November 14.06 0.00
Feeder Cattle January 92.675 0.850
Live Cattle December 83.950 0.275
Lean Hogs December 57.600 1.625
Cotton December 70.41 1.59

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