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Lessons Learned from Low Prices

10/12/2009

I heard the governors of Minnesota and Wisconsin on the radio today discussing the historically dismal state of the dairy industry. It’s good to know that the situation is getting their attention. But no politician could have fixed this dairy economy. We need to be prepared for continued price variability. And we should not forget the lessons learned from low prices, no matter how good it gets.

Feed is the largest single cost on a dairy, so nutritionists are challenged to cut feed costs when milk prices are low. But our feeding philosophy should be the same, no matter what the milk price is – otherwise we’re not maximizing income.  

A study of California dairies in 2006 and 2007 sheds some light on what affects profitability during both low and high prices. The study included over 150 Holstein, Jersey and crossbred herds with between 100 and 4600 cows/herd. Milk price averaged $11.46/cwt in 2006 and $17.69/cwt in 2007.  Besides milk price, solids corrected milk yield was the most important determinant of profitability on these dairies – regardless of feed cost. The highest producing herds were the most expensive to feed on a per cow basis, but had the lowest feed cost/cwt of milk. The highest producing herds minimized their losses during low milk prices and maximized profits during high milk prices.

This study indicates that feed changes that reduce milk production will reduce profitability, regardless of milk price.  The most effective feed cost savings are usually in feed management, not by feeding cheaper rations that don’t maximize milk yield. Fine tuning weighing, mixing and feeding procedures improves feed efficiency, effectively getting more milk from the same feed. Hopefully these low milk prices have made us all pay closer attention to our feeding management.

But low milk prices may also have caused many of us to reevaluate the nutrient levels in our rations such as protein levels, certain minerals and vitamins or feed additives. If trimming these nutrients didn’t affect milk production, reproduction or cow health over the past few months, they probably won’t improve your bottom line if you add them back when milk prices rebound either.

Reference:  Rodriguez, L.A. and J.M. DeFrain. Factors Affecting Profitability of Western Dairies 2009 Southwest Nutrition and Management Conference Proceedings.

--Rick Lundquist is an independent nutrition and management consultant based in Duluth, Minn. You can contact him at siestadog@aol.com.

This column is part of the Dairy Today e-Update newsletter, which is delivered to subscribers biweekly and includes dairy industry analysis, dairy nutrition information as well as the latest dairy headline news. Click here to subscribe.

 

 


Thursday, October 15, 2009 10:44 AM by: Anonymous
Interesting that you say that 12:56 I agree. But look how many people feed off the dairy industry, no wonder we can"t keep up with the bills, everyone makes more than we do.

Thursday, October 15, 2009 12:56 AM by: Anonymous
too many nutritionists work for feed companies and just want to increase their sales, feed your cows lots of forages, milk 2x not 3x , throw away the bst,sexed semen and half of the other crap that salesmen come on your place trying to sell you and we will all be more profitable in the long run

Wednesday, October 14, 2009 11:07 PM by: Anonymous
Yea... but who pays them? Not me. Or at least I try not to.

Wednesday, October 14, 2009 7:57 PM by: Anonymous
Cause thats how they get paid !

Tuesday, October 13, 2009 1:36 PM by: Anonymous
Why does everyone come on here and tell us how to be 'profitable' but yet they don't farm themselves? This happens far too often.

Tuesday, October 13, 2009 12:32 PM by: Anonymous
" The highest producing herds minimized their losses during low milk prices and maximized profits during high milk prices." How are we ever to correct the oversupply, if we are to continue to produce as much as possible? The system is broken.

Tuesday, October 13, 2009 12:32 PM by: steve from stj.
instead of trying to maintain production with low to no income we should all be cutting production to empty warehouse stocks and force the price of our products and labor to sustainable levels. the only thing we need to do is cut protein and energy levels and production will drop. it does not take much and results can be dramatic immediately. please pay attention to this because if you think maintaining production is a good thing think again. other farmers are not your competition but your allies. think of the bigger picture and we will all have a better living in this business we have chosen to involve ourselves in

Monday, October 12, 2009 3:46 PM by: Anonymous
How come there is no end to experts when it comes to dairy profitability? How is anyone really supposedd to know if deleting an additive made a difference in reproduction or cow health? There are so many variables.

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