Latest News From Trade

Stephanie Mercier
China Moves from a 'Cultural Revolution' to an Agricultural Revolution

The government of China has come a long way in developing its agricultural sector over a relatively short period. Since 2000, the real value of China’s agricultural production has increased more than 530 percent.

India Strikes Trade Deal With European Countries While U.S. Trade Policy Is Stuck In Neutral
India Strikes Trade Deal With European Countries While U.S. Trade Policy Is Stuck In Neutral

India and four European countries, namely Switzerland, Norway, Iceland, and Liechtenstein, have finally signed a free trade pact after 16 years of negotiations. The impact could come in job creation.

Stephanie Mercier
Disruptions to Normal Shipping Patterns are Causing Another Spike in Ocean Freight Rates

Major disruptions to shipping through the Panama and Suez canals, occurring for very different reasons, are contributing to the recent spike in ocean freight rates.

Global Farmer Network
Free Trade Is Good for American Farmers Like Me

We are living in an age of political disruption. Candidates who break the silence on trade and offer a positive agenda for expanding exports may find themselves rewarded with farm-country votes.

Attacks In The Red Sea Are Now A Nightmare For Shippers. Here's Why It Could Actually Open The Door For More Exports Of U.S. Corn
Attacks In The Red Sea Are Now A Nightmare For Shippers. Here's Why It Could Actually Open The Door For More Exports Of U.S. Corn

From drought issues posing problems in the Panama Canal to growing tensions and attacks in the Red Sea, it's causing freight rates to skyrocket and ongoing delays in shipping products around the globe. 

Exclusive: Presidential Candidate Nikki Haley Shares Her Vision For The U.S., Agriculture
Exclusive: Presidential Candidate Nikki Haley Shares Her Vision For The U.S., Agriculture

AgriTalk has extended an invitation to all the 2024 presidential hopefuls to join Host Chip Flory and answer five standard questions about what they would focus on once in office.

Phosphate Fertilizer: There’s a Lot of Risk in The System
Phosphate Fertilizer: There’s a Lot of Risk in The System

“In this market, there's a lot of risk from the farm gates to the retail side. So more conversation goes along way this year,” Josh Linville says. 

Ripple Effect: Port and Waterway Investments Should Make Exports More Durable
Ripple Effect: Port and Waterway Investments Should Make Exports More Durable

This fall, Farm Journal’s Chip Flory and Michelle Rook traveled to the Port of Grays Harbor in Washington and the Port of South Louisiana. Here's what they learned about two very different ports with two important jobs.

U.S. Soybean Farmers Make Major Investments in Mississippi River and Port Infrastructure
U.S. Soybean Farmers Make Major Investments in Mississippi River and Port Infrastructure

Dredging the Mississippi River to a depth of 50' allows 500,000 more soybean bushels to be loaded per vessel, which helps lower freight rates and adds to the value of the soybeans exported.

Port of South Louisiana Top Export Port for U.S. Grain Even with Historic Drought
Port of South Louisiana Top Export Port for U.S. Grain Even with Historic Drought

The port of South Louisiana is the No. 1 export port for grain by volume in the U.S., so it's important for U.S. farmers getting their product to export markets. 

Global Farmer Network
Napoleon’s Waterloo Was Protectionism and a Trade War Lost

The life of Napoleon conveys a timeless message: Protectionism always fails and nobody wins a trade war.

The Latest On U.S. Phosphate Duties
The Latest On U.S. Phosphate Duties

Earlier this week, as part of an annual administrative review of countervailing duty orders, the Department of Commerce (DOC) adjusted duties on imported phosphate fertilizers.

U.S. Farm Leaders Visit China, Talk Up Agriculture Trade
U.S. Farm Leaders Visit China, Talk Up Agriculture Trade

A delegation from 11 ag industry groups gathered in Beijing on Thursday to meet Chinese counterparts amid growing U.S. efforts to bolster farm trade even as political ties between their two countries remain strained.

A Shift in the U.S. Soybean Market Brings New Opportunities for Meal Exports in Pacific Northwest
A Shift in the U.S. Soybean Market Brings New Opportunities for Meal Exports in Pacific Northwest

An increase in crushing capacity means there's going to be more soybean meal available for export. To prepare for that transition, infrastructure improvements are being made at the Port of Grays Harbor in Washington.

Are Production Problems Brewing in Brazil? Pulling the Curtain Back On the Soybean Powerhouse
Are Production Problems Brewing in Brazil? Pulling the Curtain Back On the Soybean Powerhouse

Weather in Brazil is as big of a market mover as forecasts in the U.S. Why has Brazil grown so aggressively? One economist recently spent six months in Brazil and says a combination of factors is aiding their growth.

Is It Possible Xi Jinping Is Just Too Incompetent To Lead? A New Theory About China
Is It Possible Xi Jinping Is Just Too Incompetent To Lead? A New Theory About China

Recently a new theory of comprehending Chinese government action has emerged and seems plausible if not likely: Xi Jinping may not be the sharpest pencil in the box, even borderline incompetent.

The U.S. And Europe Are At Odds Over Trump-Era Tariffs, And It's Now Causing Strained Relations
The U.S. And Europe Are At Odds Over Trump-Era Tariffs, And It's Now Causing Strained Relations

While the U.S. and EU aim to make progress during an upcoming summit, reaching a final agreement is uncertain. This issue has significant implications for U.S./EU ties, climate goals, and geopolitics.

Trade Relations Between the U.S. and China Just Got Even More Complicated
Trade Relations Between the U.S. and China Just Got Even More Complicated

China's Commerce minister expressed concerns over trade and tech restrictions to U.S. Senate Majority Leader this week. That's as the U.S. Commerce Department added 42 more Chinese companies to the export blacklist.

Crude Awakening: Rising Oil Prices Complicate Fed's Rate-Hike Decisions
Crude Awakening: Rising Oil Prices Complicate Fed's Rate-Hike Decisions

As brent crude futures soar toward $100, it's creating a new battle in the Federal Reserve's effort to fight inflation. One money manager warns another rate hike is likely. 

Potential Game Changer? Exports Explode as Crop Conditions Crumble
Potential Game Changer? Exports Explode as Crop Conditions Crumble

Mizzou's Ben Brown says the 81.2 million bushels new crop export sale marks the largest week of sales for the 2023/24 marketing year to date and double the previous record weekly volume for the year set last week.

John Phipps: Trying to Explain the Unexplainable in China
John Phipps: Trying to Explain the Unexplainable in China

China's GDP growth could possibly drop lower than the U.S. this year. In fact, fewer and fewer sectors are healthy, and only then by direct government intervention.

Global Farmer Network
Trade-less in the USA

In the arena of global trade, we’ve squandered opportunities. We’ve surrendered America’s traditional leadership position. We’ve lost years of strength and leverage. We have a choice to engage and to lead. It is time.

$19 Billion Ag Trade Deficit Expected for FY 2023
$19 Billion Ag Trade Deficit Expected for FY 2023

USDA on Thursday lowered expectations for both ag exports and imports in FY 2023. The export decline is linked to corn and wheat, while the import decline is correlated with easing prices.

Brazil Clears Bottlenecks to Oust US as Top Corn Exporter
Brazil Clears Bottlenecks to Oust US as Top Corn Exporter

Brazil briefly wore the global corn export crown in 2012 because of the U.S. drought. With the ability to churn out three corn crops per year and a supply deal with China, Brazil might be set to maintain that title.

Cargill Sets Sail With Wind-Powered Dry-Bulk Overseas Shipments
Cargill Sets Sail With Wind-Powered Dry-Bulk Overseas Shipments

If this test voyage is successful, Cargill aims to add 10 more vessels to be wind-powered.

Stephanie Mercier
Building Stronger Food Systems in the Face of Global Shocks

Agricultural R&D can help developing countries address their own unique challenges and shore up local food systems to better withstand shocks. This blog summarizes a research paper on this topic.

If China Is In a Recession What Does That Mean for U.S. Ag Exports?
If China Is In a Recession What Does That Mean for U.S. Ag Exports?

China’s economic woes continue to mount with continued data pointing toward a recession. What does this mean for U.S. ag exports?

Buckle Up: Dispute Panel Called to Action by US in Mexico’s GMO Corn Ban
Buckle Up: Dispute Panel Called to Action by US in Mexico’s GMO Corn Ban

“Mexico’s decree, which runs counter to scientific findings and is in direct violation of USMCA, is negatively impacting American corn growers,” said Tom Haag, NCGA president.

Drought Now Throttling Traffic at Panama Canal, A Threat to 40% of All U.S. Container Shipments
Drought Now Throttling Traffic at Panama Canal, A Threat to 40% of All U.S. Container Shipments

Drought is impacting operations along the Panama Canal, one of the largest shipping channels in the world, with restrictions now placed on both the number of ships, as well as the amount of cargo they can carry.

John Phipps: China is Losing Farms and Farmers at an Astonishing Rate
John Phipps: China is Losing Farms and Farmers at an Astonishing Rate

John Phipps says the rapid reduction in farmer numbers is a result of government efforts to raise money, since the government owns the land, and achieve modest economies of scale for added productivity.

Milwaukee Opens Ag Export Facility, Adding $63 Million to Trade Annually
Milwaukee Opens Ag Export Facility, Adding $63 Million to Trade Annually

The ag port addition is expected to increase exports of DDGS, corn and soybeans by 400,000 metric tons each year.

Is Mexico Banning GMO Corn to Protect Native Corn Varieties?
Is Mexico Banning GMO Corn to Protect Native Corn Varieties?

In Mexico, corn is much more than a food crop—it's a key part of the country's heritage, culture and traditions. Mexico argues glyphosate and GMOs are dangerous to human health, and seeks alternative practices.

What's the Biggest Threat to Global Grain Supplies? It's Actually Russia's Exports, Not Ukraine
What's the Biggest Threat to Global Grain Supplies? It's Actually Russia's Exports, Not Ukraine

Grain prices continue to rally as Russia ramped up attacks on Ukrainian ports on the River Danube. But agricultural economists and markets analysts point out the situation still hasn’t reached a worst-case scenario yet.

Latin America Boosts Imports of U.S. Corn
Latin America Boosts Imports of U.S. Corn

According to a new report by USDA, ag imports from Latin America and the Caribbean have increased over the past 12 years, with a compound annual growth rate of 6.9%.

Ag Economists Turn More Positive Longer-Term On the Farm Economy
Ag Economists Turn More Positive Longer-Term On the Farm Economy

The July Ag Economists' Monthly Monitor showed several key changes from June including a bigger cut to corn and soybean yields, a drop in corn and soybean prices and more bullish cattle and hog prices.

Preliminary Trade Agreement Between U.S., Taiwan Garners Approval from Senate
Preliminary Trade Agreement Between U.S., Taiwan Garners Approval from Senate

The leaders also drafted a proposed legislation earlier this month that promises treaty-like benefits for businesses seeking cross-border investment opportunities via the tax code.

Moscow Halts Grain Deal After Bridge to Crimea Struck
Moscow Halts Grain Deal After Bridge to Crimea Struck

The Kremlin said there was no link between the attack and suspending the deal, which lets Ukraine export grain through the Black Sea. Instead, it occurred over a failure to ease rules for food and fertilizer exports.

China's Exports Decline 12.4% Year-Over-Year
China's Exports Decline 12.4% Year-Over-Year

This slump, deeper than May's 7.5% drop, represents the largest decline since February 2020.

USTR Comments on USMCA Meetings
USTR Comments on USMCA Meetings

During a bilateral meeting on Thursday, U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai discussed with Mexico's Secretary of Economy Tatiana Clouthier various issues concerning energy and biotech corn.

USMCA Up for Debate in Mexico This Week
USMCA Up for Debate in Mexico This Week

Representatives from the U.S., Mexico and Canada will meet in Cancun, Mexico this week to discuss a series of disputes, including Mexican energy and biotech policies and Canadian dairy barriers.

US and China: A New Trade War?
US and China: A New Trade War?

Beijing on Monday announced export controls on gallium and germanium. Now the Biden administration is set to restrict Chinese companies’ access to U.S. cloud-computing services that use AI chips.

EU Seeks Revised GMO Rules to Loosen Curbs on Gene-Edited Crops
EU Seeks Revised GMO Rules to Loosen Curbs on Gene-Edited Crops

The European Commission proposed revising its rules on genetically modified organisms (GMOs) on Wednesday to loosen some restrictions for plants resulting from newer gene-editing technology.

High Production Costs Could Weigh on the Ag Economy Through 2024, New Survey of Economists Finds
High Production Costs Could Weigh on the Ag Economy Through 2024, New Survey of Economists Finds

The Ag Economists’ Monthly Monitor is a new survey of nearly 50 economists. Most ag economists agree the next 12 months could produce more financial pressure for agriculture, but their views vary depending on commodity.

Russian_map
Kremlin Drops Criminal Charges Against Prigozhin and Sends Him to Belarus 

Mercenary fighters will escape repercussions; deal details awaited; what’s next?

Food Manufacturers Agree to Use Only non-GMO Corn in Mexico's Tortillas
Food Manufacturers Agree to Use Only non-GMO Corn in Mexico's Tortillas

Mexico reached an agreement with food manufacturers to use only non-GMO corn in tortilla production across the country. The government says it plans to implement new import tariffs on white corn imports.

U.S. and China Relationship Status: It's Still Complicated
U.S. and China Relationship Status: It's Still Complicated

The U.S. and China have reportedly made “progress” and agreed to stabilize their relationship, but no major breakthroughs were outlined during the two-day meeting between U.S. and China high-ranking officials.

US Has Seen Consistent Growth in Ag Exports to Mexico Under NAFTA, USMCA
US Has Seen Consistent Growth in Ag Exports to Mexico Under NAFTA, USMCA

Over the 29 years of free trade, U.S. ag exports to Mexico increased both in terms of volume and value, although there were some years where growth was not positive.

Meet Two Pig Farmers Finding Unique Ways to Serve Up More Pork Demand
Meet Two Pig Farmers Finding Unique Ways to Serve Up More Pork Demand

While Ohio pig farmers Phillip Hord and Jessica Campbell’s operations may look different, driving demand is where their paths intersect. By bringing a new flavor to the farm, the producers are also driving pork demand.

Breaking Down the Biggest Surprises in USDA's June WASDE Report
Breaking Down the Biggest Surprises in USDA's June WASDE Report

Sluggish exports continue to be the main theme in the grain markets with USDA cutting both old and new crop ending stocks. Arlan Suderman of StoneX Group says the bigger story moving forward might be soft corn demand.

Pork Exports Continue to Soar in April, Shipments to Mexico Smash Records for 2023
Pork Exports Continue to Soar in April, Shipments to Mexico Smash Records for 2023

The bright spot for the U.S. pork industry is currently pork exports, with U.S. Meat Export Federation (USMEF) reporting another strong pork export performance in April citing broad-based growth to several countries.